March 31, 2025 | Economics & Politics News

U.S. President Donald Trump has announced a hardline stance on imposing ‘secondary tariffs’ of up to 50% on Russian oil, creating tension in the international oil market. President Trump warned that this measure could be implemented within a month if Russia fails to cooperate with his efforts to end the war in Ukraine.

“Very Angry with Putin”… Economic Pressure Card Amid Stalled Peace Negotiations

In an interview with NBC News, President Trump expressed that he was “very angry” with Russian President Vladimir Putin for criticizing Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s leadership, claiming that such statements were negatively affecting peace negotiations.

“If Russia doesn’t sincerely come to the negotiating table, we are prepared to impose tariffs of 25% to up to 50% on their oil,” President Trump stated firmly.

This measure specifically involves ‘secondary tariffs,’ a powerful sanction that would prevent countries purchasing Russian oil from doing business in the United States. This is expected to put significant pressure on China and India, Russia’s major oil importers.

What Are the Ripple Effects on the Global Oil Market and Economy?

As the world’s third-largest crude oil producer, Russia’s position means that implementing these tariffs could cause major disruptions in the global oil market.

1. Potential Global Oil Price Increase

Imposing tariffs on Russian oil could lead to a decrease in international oil supply, potentially causing worldwide oil price increases. This could place additional burden on many countries’ economies already suffering from inflation.

2. Impact on the U.S. Economy

Following the tariff announcement, U.S. stock futures showed a downward trend, indicating growing instability in financial markets. Rising oil prices could lead to increased energy costs in the United States, exacerbating inflationary pressures, which could ultimately result in reduced consumer spending and slowed economic growth.

3. Blow to the Russian Economy

The Russian economy, already struggling under various sanctions, is expected to face even greater pressure from reduced oil export revenues. Limiting oil exports, Russia’s main source of income, could deliver a serious blow to the overall economy.

Heightened International Relations and Geopolitical Tensions

This measure is expected to affect not only U.S.-Russia relations but international relations as a whole.

1. Potential Conflicts Between the U.S. and Allies

Countries like China and India, which import large quantities of Russian oil, are likely to oppose such U.S. measures. Particularly if these countries face restrictions on accessing the U.S. market, diplomatic conflicts with the United States could intensify.

2. Russian Retaliation and Response

Russia might respond to these tariffs by weaponizing energy supplies or strengthening cooperation with other countries. This could further escalate tensions not only regarding the Ukraine war but globally.

Trump’s Strategy to End the Ukraine War… How Effective?

During his election campaign, President Trump highlighted ending the Ukraine war as a major promise and has continued efforts to resolve this since taking office. This tariff threat can be seen as part of a strategy to bring Russia to the negotiating table through economic pressure.

However, experts question the effectiveness of such measures.

International economic experts point out that Russia is already evading sanctions through informal distribution channels such as ‘shadow fleets,’ expressing concern that new tariff measures may be difficult to achieve practical effects.

Additionally, the situation with Ukraine is becoming more complicated as President Trump continues to make controversial statements, such as referring to President Zelenskyy as a dictator and demanding new elections in Ukraine.

Future Outlook: Focus on Negotiation Results Within a Month

President Trump plans to engage in direct dialogue with President Putin, and whether tariffs will be imposed depends on the outcome of upcoming negotiations. He presented a one-month deadline, urging an immediate response from Russia.

The international community is closely watching how this conflict between the United States and Russia will affect the Ukraine war and the global economy. Countries particularly sensitive to oil price fluctuations are preparing for market instability resulting from this announcement.

As the world watches, it remains to be seen whether the Trump administration’s hardline measures will be an effective strategy in achieving the goal of ending the Ukraine war, and how the economic and geopolitical ripple effects will unfold.